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Subject:

FYI

From:

Norman Stahl <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Open Forum for Learning Assistance Professionals <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 1 Jun 2000 08:37:22 -0700

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (100 lines)

>College Eligible Pupils To Increase
>
>By ARLENE LEVINSON
>.c The Associated Press
>
>(May 24) - The number of young adults academically qualified to go to college
>is expected to rise by 19 percent - 2.6 million people - over two decades,
>and minority students will account for most of the increase, according to a
>study released Wednesday.
>
>The Educational Testing Service report projects that blacks, Hispanics and
>Asian/Pacific Islanders will make up 80 percent of the increase among all 18-
>to 24-year-olds academically qualified for college.
>
>The study - ''Crossing the Great Divide: Can We Achieve Equity When
>Generation Y Goes to College?'' - is based on school achievement tests and
>national and state population figures. Its projections address enrollment at
>the nation's more than 4,000 two- and four-year institutions.
>
>The survey examined enrollment prospects from 1995 to 2015. It defined
>eligible students as those able to meet or exceed college admission
>requirements.
>
>The study estimates that the number of full-time undergraduates will reach 16
>million 15 years from now, up from 13.4 million five years ago.
>
>ETS projected that by 2015, the numbers of black, Hispanic and Asians/Pacific
>Islander undergraduates will grow by about 2 million, and they will account
>for 37 percent of the nation's undergraduates. In 1995, minorities
>represented 29 percent of the nation's undergraduates.
>
>The findings foresee an effect beyond the classroom. ''Raising the academic
>achievement of minority students would go a long way toward both reducing
>poverty and addressing labor shortages at the high end of the job market,''
>the report said.
>
>More than half of the projected increase for overall enrollment is likely to
>be in California, Texas, Florida, New York and Arizona. By 2015, minorities
>will outnumber whites in colleges in California, Hawaii, New Mexico and
>Washington, D.C.
>
>This will occur even as race-based affirmative action efforts have been
>rolled back in states such as California, Texas and Florida.
>
>In Texas, the numbers of minorities and whites will be about equal in 2015,
>though minorities will pull ahead soon after, the study projected. In 1995,
>minorities represented 42 percent; this year, about 44 percent.
>
>In Florida, minorities are also expected to reach 50 percent by 2015. They
>represented 35 percent of undergraduates in 1995. Currently, they are 37
>percent.
>
>In California, minorities already represented 51 percent of undergraduates
>five years ago; they now represent 55 percent. In 2015, they are likely to
>reach 62 percent, the study projected.
>
>Nationwide, Hispanics were projected to increase the most numerically,
>growing by 1 million students, up from 11 percent in 1995.
>
>But just because more minorities may be eligible for college doesn't mean
>they will be able to afford it, said Sonia Hernandez, deputy superintendent
>for curriculum and instruction at the California Education Department.
>
>''The report raises real concerns about how educational institutions will
>accommodate this growing demand,'' she said. ''I am very worried that we
>could fail these children.''
>
>The study projects that, over two decades, Asian/Pacific Islander
>undergraduates could grow by 600,000, or 86 percent. They would make up 8
>percent of college students by 2015, up from 5 percent five years ago.
>
>ETS also estimates that the numbers of black students would grow by 400,000,
>yet still represent 13 percent of all undergraduates. Black students will be
>concentrated in Texas, Florida, Georgia, Maryland and North Carolina.
>
>Projected enrollment for whites will increase in number but decline in
>proportion to other groups. In 1995, whites represented 71 percent; in 2015,
>they will represent 63 percent.
>
>The ETS is a private, nonprofit company in Princeton, N.J., that creates and
>administers college admissions tests.
>
>AP-NY-05-24-00 1654EDT
>
>Copyright 2000 The Associated Press. The information contained in the AP news
>report may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or otherwise distributed
>without the prior written authority of The Associated Press. All active
>hyperlinks have been inserted by AOL.

--
Norman A. Stahl
Professor and Chair
Literacy Education
GH 223
Northern Illinois University
DeKalb, IL 60115

Phone: (815) 753-9032
FAX:   (815) 753-8563
[log in to unmask]

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