***** To join INSNA, visit http://www.insna.org ***** Uncertainty Reduction, Strong versus Weak Anticipation, and Innovative Capacities in a Triple Helix Model of the Knowledge-based Economy <http://www.leydesdorff.net/knbeconomy/index.htm> The Triple Helix model of university-industry-government relations can be generalized from a neo-institutional model of networks of relations to a neo-evolutionary model of how three (or more) social coordination mechanisms operate as selection environments upon one another. The mutual information among the three contexts (wealth generation, knowledge production, and political control) provides us with an indicator of the knowledge base as a latent structure of a political economy. This structure potentially reduces uncertainty. Using the theory of anticipatory systems, reduction of uncertainty can also be considered as anticipatory capacity. In the computation of anticipatory systems, one distinguishes between weak and strong anticipation. A social system composed of three or more asynchronous selection environments can be expected to generate ranges of options ("horizons of meaning") which in combination with informed decision-making by reflexive agency shape a strongly anticipatory system, that is, a system which co-constructs its own future states. Technological interventions in the natural system take place at specific moments in time, but build upon one another along historical trajectories. The trajectories can be considered as retention mechanisms that enable us to reach new positions from which new possibilities can be envisaged. The communicative competencies of the carriers of the differentiated communication systems, that is, their capacity to translate among horizons of meaning, limit the further development of the knowledge base of an economy historically. click here for pdf <http://www.leydesdorff.net/KnBEconomy/KnBEconomy.pdf> Loet Leydesdorff Amsterdam School of Communications Research (ASCoR), Kloveniersburgwal 48, 1012 CX Amsterdam; [log in to unmask] <http://www.leydesdorff.net/> _____________________________________________________________________ SOCNET is a service of INSNA, the professional association for social network researchers (http://www.insna.org). To unsubscribe, send an email message to [log in to unmask] containing the line UNSUBSCRIBE SOCNET in the body of the message.