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Norman,
Thanks for the information--that was interesting to read.
I wonder if the increase in seniors enrolling in calculus may be partly because so many students drop out, thus more of the students that are still in high school their seniors year are college bound students?

Marlene

Norman Stahl <[log in to unmask]> wrote: The National Center for Education Statistics within the Institute of
Education
Sciences has released the report "Trends Among High School Seniors,
1972-2004
(NCES 2008-320)."

Using questionnaire and transcript data collected in 1972, 1980, 1982,
1992, and
2004, this report presents information on five cohorts of high school
seniors.
The analysis addresses overall trends, as well as trends within various
subgroups defined by sex, race/ethnicity, and socioeconomic status
(SES). Key
findings of the report include the following:

* The proportion of Black seniors who were in the highest SES quartile
doubled
 from 1972 to 1992 (from 5 percent to 10 percent), and increased overall
from 5
percent in 1972 to 14 percent in 2004.

* The percentage of seniors enrolling in calculus during their senior
year grew
 from 6 percent to 13 percent between 1982 and 2004. The percentage of
seniors
taking no mathematics courses during their senior year declined from 57
percent
to 34 percent over this time period.

* Seniors increased their senior-year enrollment in advanced science
courses
(chemistry II, physics II, and advanced biology) from 12 percent in
1982 to 25
percent in 2004.

* In each class of seniors, most of those who planned further schooling
intended
to attend  four-year postsecondary schools, with the proportion of
students
planning to attend four-year schools rising from 34 percent in 1972 to
61
percent in 2004.

* In all years, higher percentages of Asian high school seniors, and
lower
percentages of Hispanic seniors (except in 1992), compared to other
racial/ethnic groups, planned attendance at four-year institutions.

* No difference was observed between 1972 and 2004 between the
percentage of
seniors expecting a bachelor's degree as their highest level of
education.
Instead, growth between these two time points was greatest in
expectations for a
graduate or professional degree: 13 percent of seniors expected to
attain this
level of education as their highest in 1972, compared to 38 percent of
seniors
in 2004.

* In 1972, males expected to earn a graduate degree as their highest
educational
level in greater proportions than did females (16 percent versus 9
percent);
however, in 2004, females expected to earn a graduate degree more often
than
males (45 percent versus 32 percent).

* Seniors increasingly expected to work in professional occupations
(growing
 from 45 percent of seniors in 1972 to 63 percent of seniors in 2004
expecting to
work in a professional field).

To view, download and print the report as a PDF file, please visit:
http://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/pubsinfo.asp?pubid=2008320

Norman A. Stahl, Ph.D.
Professor and Chair
Literacy Education

President, National Reading Conference

(815) 753-9032
[log in to unmask]

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