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Seminar Monday:
________________________________
From: Peter Sheng [mailto:[log in to unmask]]
Sent: Friday, February 05, 2010 10:06 AM
To: Mckee,Kathleen A
Subject: Fwd: Interdisciplinary Seminar Monday February 8, 2010 - Dr. Don Resio

Dear All,

You are invited to a seminar by Dr. Donald Resio from the Engineering Research and Development Center, U S Army Corps of Engineers on

February 8 - 4:05-4:55pm

119 CISE (Computer Science) Building  (by Turlington)

 " The Estimation of Hurricane Surge Probabilities "

There will be coffee and cookie at 3:15 in the Coastal archive area (5th floor Weil Hall - Western Entrance)

Dr. Resio was a team leader of the IPET (Interagency Performance Evaluation Taskforce) project from 2005 to 2008, which conducted a forensic study on the  New Orleans Hurricane Protection System during Hurricane Katrina. As part of the study, Dr. Resio co-developed the new JPM-OS method for estimating the storm surge risk in coastal zones including New Orleans. Dr. Resio has published numerous papers on storm surge and wave modeling as well as risk analysis.

Dr. Resio will be talking about a new probabilistic method for estimating the risk of storm surge and inundation in coastal regions.
See abstract below.

ABSTRACT:
The Estimation of Hurricane Surge Probabilities
Don Resio

This presentation will give a brief review of historical methods used to estimate surges for design and planning purposes and will discuss why some of these methods are not appropriate for future critical design considerations.  Next, the presentation will summarize some important advances in surge modeling implemented following Hurricane Katrina and will discuss the development and implementation of the new Joint Probability Method - Optimal Sampling (JPM-OS). In conclusion, the application of the JPM-OS in areas within the Gulf of Mexico and in the estimation of very, very low probability surges for highly critical applications (such as the potential limitation of nuclear plant locations) will be discussed.


I look forward to seeing you!

Peter Sheng, Professor
Civil and Coastal Engineering Department
352-392-9537 x 1521