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Some related work on conflict prediction can be found here:
http://www.cs.rice.edu/~devika/conflict/publications.html

this is an example where network analysis is employed:

Hubs, authorities and networks: predicting conflict using events data, 
R. Stoll and D.
Subramanian, International Studies Association, 2006
http://www.cs.rice.edu/~devika/conflict/papers/stollsubramanian.pdf

Ciao,

Matteo


On 26/08/13 21:59, Brian Keegan wrote:
> ***** To join INSNA, visit http://www.insna.org *****
> The GDELT data is sitting there waiting to have someone run a network
> analysis on it for exactly these types of questions about conflict at a
> daily level of resolution. Data goes back to 1979.
>
> http://gdelt.utdallas.edu/
>
>
> On Mon, Aug 26, 2013 at 3:54 PM, martina morris
> <[log in to unmask] <mailto:[log in to unmask]>> wrote:
>
>     *****  To join INSNA, visit http://www.insna.org  *****
>
>     Interesting to note that in this graph no one in the middle east
>     hates Israel or the US (or more accurately, none of the other actors
>     in the middle east have any relationship to either country)
>
>
>     On Mon, 26 Aug 2013, James Holland Jones wrote:
>
>         *****  To join INSNA, visit http://www.insna.org  *****
>
>         Perhaps people have seen, though no one has yet commented on,
>         the remarkable directed, signed sociogram created by the
>         pseudonymous Egyptian blogger "The Big Pharaoh" (twitter:
>         @TheBigPharaoh) and reprinted in the Washington Post today.
>
>         http://www.washingtonpost.com/__blogs/worldviews/wp/2013/08/__26/the-middle-east-explained-__in-one-sort-of-terrifying-__chart/
>         <http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/worldviews/wp/2013/08/26/the-middle-east-explained-in-one-sort-of-terrifying-chart/>
>
>         This remarkable digraph is begging for some analysis from
>         someone with a bit of time to kill...
>
>         --
>         James Holland Jones
>         Associate Professor of Anthropology &
>         Senior Fellow, Woods Institute for the Environment
>
>         450 Serra Mall
>         Building 50
>         Stanford, CA 94305-2034
>
>         phone: 650-723-4824 <tel:650-723-4824>
>         fax: 650-725-0605 <tel:650-725-0605>
>         email: [log in to unmask] <mailto:[log in to unmask]>
>         url: http://www.stanford.edu/~jhj1
>
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>     ******************************__******************************__****
>       Professor of Sociology and Statistics
>       Director, UWCFAR Sociobehavioral and Prevention Research Core
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>     http://faculty.washington.edu/__morrism/
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>
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>
> --
> Brian C. Keegan
> Ph.D. Student - Media, Technology, & Society
> School of Communication, Northwestern University
>
> Science of Networks in Communities, Laboratory for Collaborative
> Technology, Center for Technology & Social Behavior
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-- 
Matteo Gagliolo <[log in to unmask]>
Group for research on Ethnic Relations, Migration and Equality (GERME),
Institute of Sociology;
Machine Learning Group (MLG), Computer Science Department.
Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB).
GERME, ULB, CP 124, 44 av. Jeanne
1050 Brussels, Belgium
Phone +32 2 650 4798, Fax +32 2 650 4659
http://homepages.ulb.ac.be/~mgagliol/

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