Thought you might be interested in this. Tom > -----Original Message----- > From: Martha Maxwell [SMTP:[log in to unmask]] > Sent: Sunday, November 14, 1999 7:45 PM > To: [log in to unmask] > Subject: Predictors of College Success > > What is the best predictor of college success? > Not SAT or ACT scores says Cliff Adelman of the US > Dept. of Ed. Research Office. He adds that neither > are those other numbers used in college admission > like HS GPA and rank in H. S. graduating class very > good predictors for their sharpness has been dulled > by years of grade inflation. > > Although, SAT scores do a pretty good job or > predicting first semester grades, but politicians and > institutions and the public are more interested in > graduation rates. Yet SAT scores get almost all of > the media attention. > > Curriculum beats all other measures in predicting > who will graduate from college and as Adelman > points out, it is the only factor that educators can do > anything about. He reports that "72 percent of Afro- > American students who got beyond Algebra II, took > Advanced Placement Courses and attended four > year colleges or universities earned bachelor's > degrees. For Latinos, the graduation figure was > 79%. " > > Adelman adds that the media feeding frenzy > following every annual report of institutional > rankings on the SAT gives the SAT a powerful > symbolism that it does not deserve (and I might add > makes ETS richer). It is implied that the US as a > nation will stand or fall on the SAT. > > He cites evidence that the propaganda about racial > differences on the SAT causes many minority > students to freeze up on the test. > > In truth, although 70 per cent of students entering > college take the SAT, the scores are considered for > admissions purposes in only about 200 of the 1800 > four year colleges. Certainly, none of the 1200 two- > year colleges consider SATs in admitting students. > > Martha Maxwell > Ref: > Adelman, Clifford. "Why Can't We Stop Talking > About the SAT?" (Nov. 5, 1999). Chronicle of Higher > Education, B4-5.